ITF W75 Porto II: Harriet Dart vs Victoria Mboko final analysis
A one-sided win created by pressure point supremacy
Victoria Mboko’s formidable 2025 season continued at ITF W75 Porto (Portugal) as she picked up her fifth ITF Tour singles title in 6 events played.
Remarkably, the 18-year old Canadian (WTA #212) began the year winning her first 43 sets, 22 matches and 4 tournaments played. A terrific run that was finally stopped a fortnight ago by Raluca Georgiana Serban in the first round at ITF W50 Macon (France).
It turned out to be just a brief interruption since Mboko’s bounce back was immediate and of the highest order. Last week, the teenager collected yet another champion’s trophy and is already riding a new winning streak.
In the W75 Porto title decider, Mboko defeated top seed Harriet Dart (WTA #116) 6-1, 6-1 in 54 minutes. The key to such one-sided score was Mboko’s supreme ability to win close games by virtue of dominating pressure points*.
* A pressure point is played whenever the returner is 1 point away from reaching break point
While serving, Mboko faced 10 pressure points and won 9. By avoiding trouble so many times, she lost serve just once in the match.
By contrast, Dart actually faced 2 fewer pressure points on her serve (8 in total) but only managed to win 2 of those points. As a result, Mboko accrued 6 break points that were duly converted into 6 breaks.
Pressure points by server
Dart: 8 pressure points faced; 2 won
Mboko: 10 pressure points faced; 9 won
By winning 83% of all pressure points played in the final (15 of 18), Mboko simply ruled once games became close. Here’s are another outstanding stat that further confirms the Canadian’s superiority during tight moments: out of 10 points played with the score tied at 30/30 or Deuce across 8 games, Mboko won 9 points to claim 7 of those games.
In the first set, Dart reached 30 first in 5 of 7 games. However, she was able to take advantage of her early score lead only once and that fact ramped up her frustration and severely affected her confidence for the second set.
Overall, the ITF W75 Porto final featured serving performances that were a world apart.
While Mboko’s production on serve was characterized by an ace and another 11 serves that were not returned into play, Dart’s was notorious for 2nd serve woes.
The top seed landed just 9 of 18 2nd serves (for 9 double faults), ended up hitting a double fault in all 3 break points in which she failed to make a 1st serve, and finished the match with just 3 of 18 2nd serve points won (17%).
At the end of the day, Mboko landed significantly more 1st and 2nd serves and won a lot more behind them.
1st serves
in: Dart 54% / Mboko 71%
won: Dart 43% / Mboko 69%
2nd serves
in: Dart 50% / Mboko 76%
won: Dart 17% / Mboko 46%
To make matters worse for Dart, she hit twice more errors off each wing compared to Mboko: 18 to 9 on forehands and 19 to 9 on backhands.
The top seed managed to mitigate part of that gap by hitting 3 more forehand winners (7 to 4). But her backhand output was limited to a single winner, so Mboko collected a 13-point advantage from backhand performances (-5 to -18).
Forehand Performances
Dart: 7 winners / 18 errors = -11
Mboko: 4 winners / 9 errors = -5
Backhand Performances
Dart: 1 winner / 19 errors = -18
Mboko: 4 winners / 9 errors = -5
Interestingly, both players finished the title decider with the same number of winners (8) and forcing shots (4) on returns and rally shots. However, Dart made 37 errors off the ground compared to just 18 from Mboko.
Ultimately, Mboko took risks with her 1st serves and then showed great maturity by playing within herself and avoiding going for too much while Dart kept missing serves and groundstrokes.
Harriet Dart (WTA #116, seed 1) vs Victoria Mboko (WTA #212)
2025 Porto II final - Match Data
Set by Set Stats
Rallying Stats
Points Won by Rally length
Rally length
Strokes Breakdown
Direction of winning shots and unforced errors (only groundstrokes)
Serve and Return
1st Serves
2nd Serves
Return & rallying performance
Points won breakdown
This final section gives a last, broader look at the match by presenting how each player won points. Points are listed according to their frequency (highest to lowest) and are named in relation to the last touch on the ball. For simplicity, groundstrokes hit from the 5th shot onwards are grouped together.
Breakdown by side (FHs or BHs)
Breakdown by error type (UFEs or FEs)
To find out more about the stats published here, please visit the following post.
While we follow the same criteria used on all major tennis events, our stats are collected through our own video analysis and are not official WTA or ITF stats.
Thanks for reading!
— Tennis Inside Numbers